Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Kerry H Pechter's avatar

Why is the discussion limited to government finances? All private financial assets--stocks, bonds, derivatives, whatever--are claims on future economic activity. In order to achieve its expected performance, the DJIA will need to reach 84,000 in 10 years. Corporate revenues will need to support that. Apple will need to sell twice as many products. That will require further federal spending. No one is asking the banking system to destroy the $18 trillion bubble in outstanding credit it has created, and that individuals finance with monthly payments. If the gov't balanced its budget or erased the national debt, all private assets would deflate. The gov't in short is not an albatross around the neck of the private economy; its spending holds up the high asset values in the private economy. It would be great to deleverage the whole overpriced contraption... but who wants to be the first to sell his house at half price? Or take half his Social Security benefits.

Expand full comment
Peg Hambrick's avatar

So, what affect would a reconciliation bill (aka "one big beautiful bill") have on this...how much worse can it get?

Expand full comment
1 more comment...

No posts